Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-14 7.841242 8.671327 9.575040 10.635853 11.851873 13.208026 14.842936
2025-12-21 6.556523 7.622542 8.860963 10.419167 12.346035 14.675403 17.742563
2025-12-28 6.323901 7.635573 9.237108 11.365394 14.163919 17.782786 22.926064
2026-01-04 5.874622 7.295993 9.097734 11.594869 15.040916 19.745968 26.871213
2026-01-11 5.330820 6.764495 8.634921 11.313754 15.155246 20.636544 29.387100
2026-01-18 5.076992 6.580333 8.598492 11.585982 16.041602 22.697730 33.938370
2026-01-25 4.710903 6.207621 8.262479 11.385265 16.192523 23.649553 36.850690
2026-02-01 4.410476 5.899522 7.986092 11.234766 16.385775 24.666083 40.007262
2026-02-08 4.137010 5.607913 7.707038 11.047354 16.488269 25.527706 43.008682
2026-02-15 3.881388 5.323775 7.415880 10.810798 16.477247 26.180444 45.710876
2026-02-22 3.696550 5.130836 7.245644 10.746618 16.738939 27.329231 49.569992
2026-03-01 3.454000 4.837043 6.901646 10.371615 16.426191 27.390862 51.198847
2026-03-08 3.198414 4.516509 6.507062 9.900631 15.931034 27.110487 52.184596
2026-03-15 3.025667 4.314033 6.286112 9.704902 15.912742 27.747366 55.354835
2026-03-22 3.092227 4.484766 6.667932 10.567832 17.932123 32.713492 69.847778
2026-03-29 3.019902 4.430545 6.678277 10.776854 18.729698 35.284152 79.170181
2026-04-05 2.865176 4.235343 6.442000 10.520787 18.580375 35.775182 83.079148
2026-04-12 2.813353 4.204273 6.479280 10.768761 19.474668 38.742962 94.821547
2026-04-19 2.690242 4.049298 6.295087 10.585941 19.452949 39.574793 100.473198
2026-04-26 2.583268 3.916086 6.141064 10.448808 19.513620 40.614098 107.107664
2026-05-03 2.477917 3.780772 5.975999 10.277973 19.483265 41.424013 113.259522
2026-05-10 2.372187 3.640263 5.794563 10.062235 19.332237 41.906135 118.458357
2026-05-17 2.296843 3.548466 5.695541 10.003682 19.530415 43.335393 127.603505